Last regular season game of the year for us, folks. Talk about an amazing ride. Early in the season I was hoping for health and 45-50 wins. Instead, I was treated to at least 56 wins, an amazing Western Conference race, and a ball club that seems to have set every Franchise Record in the books. Every game it seems like a new record has been broken, with Tyson taking the crown for most rebounds in a season by a Hornet in last night's game against the Clips.
It's also been a pretty incredible season for me. Six months ago I decided to start a blog, two months later I got the opportunity to party with Ron here at Hornets247, and together the two of us have seen the Hornets247 community and traffic grow in leaps and bounds. According to our most recent stats, our low traffic days are now higher than our peak days back at the start of the year. According to several different sites like lowpost.net, we're one of the 15 most influential basketball blogs out there.
Of course, all of that is thanks to you. Without you, I certainly wouldn't have had the drive to keep producing content, and I appreciate all the comments, post ideas, and time you've taken out of your day to contribute to the site. Thank you very, very much, and we intend to keep slamming out good stuff as the Hornets make their playoff run.
On to the game.
Tonight is a weird game. We've locked in our position in the playoff seeding at number 2, and cannot be dislodged from that position. However, the Nuggets face the Grizzlies tonight, and if they win, and we beat Dallas, we play the Nuggets in the first round. If the Nuggets lose OR we lose, we face Dallas in the first round.
Personally, I want to beat the Mavs tonight. Not because I want to avoid playing them, or think the Nuggets will be easier to beat. I just want more momentum heading into the playoffs. Neither the Nuggets nor the Mavericks are playing particularly good ball right now, and I think we can handle either in a seven game series.
Game Preview
Matchup: Hornets (56-25) @ Mavericks (50-31)
Off Efficiency: Hornets 109.0(5th), Mavericks 108.5(7th)
Def Efficiency: Hornets 102.6(5th), Mavericks 103.1(8th)
Mavvy Blog: Mavs Moneyball
The Hornets come in having won seven of their last ten, while the Mavericks have played .500 ball over their last ten, including suffering two close losses to Portland and Seattle in their last two games.
Our last matchup against the Mavs resulted in a win for the Hornets, but that was Jason Kidd's first game for Dallas and he was clearly not in sync with the rest of the team. He should be better integrated for this game - though I'm not sure that matters. The Mavs haven't played that well since getting Jason Kidd.
Injuries: Stackhouse and Nowitzki are playing through injuries, but will be playing. The evil Foot Clan gave Bonzitello food poisoning last night and he spent all game tossing his dinner instead of the basketball. No word if he feels better today.
Positional Analysis
PG: Jason Kidd v Chris Paul
Advantage: Hornets
Jason Kidd is a horrible matchup against Paul. In both games against Kidd as a Net and the one game against him as a Mav, Paul has shown Kidd just can't match his jets on the defensive end and can't stop Paul from getting where he wants to go. Considering defense is pretty much the best part of Jason Kidd's game anymore, that's not good for the Mavs. Kidd also plays into Chris's hands because his shot has completely deserted him this year. Paul has trouble fighting through high screens defensively. Since Kidd is a worse shot than Dick Cheney, Paul can just go under the screen and let Kidd fire away.
SG: Jason Terry v. Morris Peterson
Advantage: Mavericks
Terry is a good mid and long range shooter, and if gets an open baseline shot, he'll make you pay. His handle isn't bad, but he rarely uses it, being allergic to drives to the basket. His defense is so-so. Morris was a man posessed last night against the Clips, and if he plays tonight like he did last night, this position probably swings to the Hornets. However, Morris rarely puts together two good games, so I'm not counting on that.
SF: Josh Howard v Peja Stojakovic
Advantage: Mavericks
Josh's defense is better all-around than Peja's is, and he's a pretty skilled mid-range guy. He'd be even better if he drove to the hoop more, since he's got all the tools, but has started relying on his ranged shot more than he should. Other than a stretch against the Lakers, Peja's shooting has been off the past five games or so. Of course, that doesn't really read 'slump' to me. It just means Peja is due.
PF: Dirk Nowitzki v David "17-foot Fluffy" West
Advantage: Even
Normally, I wouldn't call this even, but David West has been playing very well over his past few games, and he is usually only put off his game by long, strong, and athletic defenders. Dirk has some of those qualities, but I doubt he'll be able to contain West. West probably won't contain Dirk either, being reluctant as always to close to the perimeter, where Dirk can just hammer you. I have a feeling both of these guys are going to be killing out there.
C: Erick Dampier v Tyson Chandler
Advantage: Hornets
Dampier is a very, very good offensive rebounder and an underrated defender, though his offensive liabilities and tendency to clog the paint so Dirk can't operate as well does limit his minutes. Tyson will probably lose rebounding positioning against the massive Dampier a bunch of times this game, but will still do good work on the glass by being faster and more athletic. Also - expect at least two TCP Alley-oops. I was about to call it a TCP-oop - but realized that looks really bad.
Bench
Advantage: Hornets
The Mavericks bench is really thin since the Kidd trade. Stackhouse is frequently hurt and even when healthy has lost his shooting touch this season. Jose Juan Barea should be a third string point guard, and Ryan Bowen could give Trenton Hassell, Antoine Wright, Devean George and Eddie Jones a run for their money as threats on the offensive end. Only Brandon Bass contributes much, but I'm going to make some of you LSU fans unhappy by pointing out that despite his decent scoring numbers, he's really not that effective otherwise. He's a well-below average rebounder and defender for his position, and since he has to play center a lot for this team, that's a big problem for the Mavs.
The Hornets have their usual inconsistent bench, but I'd take Wright, Wells, and Pargo plus fringe contributions from Armstrong against the Mavs bench any day.
Enjoy the game, all of you.


8 life-affirming comments post your own
Ron Hitley
04/16/08 08:13 AM
Damn that evil Foot clan. I think Deron Williams might have had them poison Chris Paul's pizza, but Bonzi couldn't resist devouring the whole thing before CP got out of the bathroom. Ninja turtles do love them some pizza after all. I'm hoping for a win tonight, too, but not at any costs. I think Byron should rest the starters a bit, but not too much. We still need to work on maintaining intensity for a whole game. About 30 minutes apiece for the big guns would be nice. Apparently Dallas really want this one. Visited some Mavs blogs earlier and it seemed they all would rather face the Hornets in the first round, as opposed to the Lakers.
www.hornets247.com #1
Ron Hitley
04/16/08 08:14 AM
Oh, and I should echo Ryan's words at the top of the post. Thanks to everyone for dropping by regularly and making this site what it is. This season has been a blast, and we ain't done yet. Did I ever pick the right time to move to New Orleans!?
www.hornets247.com #2
Juncti
04/16/08 09:45 AM
I imagine Bonzi will be spending the night in Splinter's dojo on the inactive list. Might not even make the trip to get well and ready for the weekend. Wouldn't be surprised to see the starters play most of the 1st, then the bench will clear. Get James some time, maybe we can see Birdman (is he even still called that, he said he doesn't do that anymore) get some minutes and knock some rust off. Would be interesting to put Wright, Armstrong, Pargo, Anderson and James out there for a long stretch to see if they can find some bench chemistry. Let them fly for 2 quarters or so at least. I think this is a great chance to really put some of these players to the test in a way we normally can't afford to.
#3
ticktock6
04/16/08 09:50 AM
My blog's been getting triple the traffic in the last MONTH alone. Of course I probably owe much of that to your link, since I'm way newer... :-P I think there are people out there in the mainstream who've had a little more reason to realize the Hornets exist lately, though! I think CP can run circles around Jason Kidd, but we shouldn't win because of seeding. We should win because of the momentum. They should realize they've made mistakes, but they still got to have a really awesome, special night last night. You take that and close out the season strong.
hornetshype.com #4
Apple
04/16/08 11:00 AM
Bigtime thanks to Ryanand Ron for the most awesome basketball site I've ever seen. What the heck is the "evil Foot clan"? I kind of like "TCP-oop". <evil grin> Larry has a new sign for Tyson that says "OOP OOP AND AWAY!" I'd love to see the Hornets beat the Mavericks. I get all warm and fuzzy when I see Mark Cuban's face when they lose. <another evil grin>
appleita.blogspot.com/ #5
Mikey
04/16/08 11:36 AM
Apple.... about the "evil Foot Clan", when Bonzi wears that purple head band, he looks like a cartood character, Donatello, from the show Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles. The Evil Foot Clan was the organization that would always plot against and fight the Shell-backed heroes. I'm just gonna sit back and enjoy this one, and spend the whole game praying for the players' health.
#6
Fab
04/16/08 12:36 PM
Let's beat the mavs and then face the Nuggets in the first Round. I love your blog Ron & Ryan!Always fun to read.
#7
Apple
04/16/08 09:53 PM
Mikey...thanks for the info about the evil Foot clan. I'm kind of out of the loop when it comes to Ninja Turtles. Li'l Abner is more my forté.
appleita.blogspot.com/ #8