1) Defense, Defense, Defense
Here's the truth about this series: The Hornets have scored whenever they wanted to against the Spurs vaunted defense. Even after the Spurs made some adjustments against the Hornets last game, the bugs still scored at a fast clip. It's part of the reason I still feel pretty comfortable with this series: The Spurs haven't proven they can stop the Hornets - they've only proven they can win if they get hot offensively. Twice the Hornets have flat out stopped the Spurs. If the Hornets make either Tony or Manu work for their points tonight, the game is probably ours. In particular, Ely, Bonzi and Julian both need to step it up on that end of the floor - last game they were atrocious.
2) Watch the Wings
A big deal has been made about Peja being shut down last game. The truth about the Hornets all season long is if they have one deep shooting threat hitting their shots - be it Peja, Peterson or Pargo, the Hornets usually win. Last game, one was shut down, one didn't get many opportunities, and one has gone ice-cold in the series. If one can get going - and I'm betting on Pargo, he's due - then this game will be very interesting.
3) Can the Hornets counter Duncan?
Duncan has gotten better in every game this series - probably as a result of his sickness going away. His defense last game was key against the bugs, but the best counter to his defense is having Tyson on the floor. That lob threat makes the Spurs really nervous. Take a look at almost every spectacular play Paul made in the past three games and you'll see Duncan glued to Chandler, boxing him away from the basket. For a guy everyone agrees has "no offensive game", Chandler puts a hell of a lot of pressure on an interior defense. He's got to stay away from stupid fouls - he had a great game goin last game until the third - and when he went out the Hornets interior defense fell apart.
4) Can Paul stay under their skin?
It's clear the Spurs fans are foaming at the mouth over Paul's aggressive nastiness and shameless flopping on the court. It's also pretty apparent that Paul's managed to get to Bruce Bowen, Manu Ginobili and several of the backups like Oberto as well. Other than Ginobili, who can be dangerous when angry, that's a good thing. I hope he keeps it up.
5) Will the Hornets Run?
Both Byron and Chandler have both said they hope the Hornets will get out and run more. As much as I'd like to see it, I have a feeling it's not too realistic. The Hornets can get some long rebounds off of all the three's the Spurs are taking, but the truth about the Spurs is they don't crash the offensive glass. A shot goes up, and they only send one guy to the glass, the rest of the team runs back on defense. It's a disciplined approach and part of the reason why the Suns had never been able to consistently dictate the tempo against the Spurs - and the past few years Suns teams were built to run. Despite the inane Media continuing to call the Hornets young and "athletic", there are only four exceptional atheletes on this team - Chandler, Paul, Pargo and Wright - and two of them are barely six feet tall. Running is good with Paul, but it should never be relied on as something we'll be able to impose on a team like the Spurs very easily.
Don't forget Ron's Sunday News Wrap up! As usual, he's done a bang-up job.


13 fluffy comments post your own
Matt
05/11/08 05:58 AM
Anybody but me going to the Watch party?
#1
Ron Hitley
05/11/08 06:38 AM
Nice job, Ryan. I'd love to see Pargo snapping out of his funk tonight. We need a big game from either him or Bonzi. Should also be interesting to see how Byron tries to get Peja some shots against Bowen. I've always wondered why we don't play the two-man game more with Paul and Peja. They could try running the pick and roll to create mismatches for Peja down low. @ Matt: I'll be at the watch party. I hear they'll be projecting the game onto big screens outside Gordon Biersch on Fulton Street if the weather stays good.
www.hornets247.com #2
mW
05/11/08 08:51 AM
Wow. That sounds sweet!
hornetshype.com #3
Matt
05/11/08 09:24 AM
@Ron, feel free to stop me and say hey. I'm be the middle aged guy with hair, glasses and goatee walking around with a monsterous camera. if there are Honeybees present, I can be counted on to shoot them.
#4
ticktock6
05/11/08 09:39 AM
I wish I could go, but I'm afraid I wouldn't get to bed early enough. So it's going to have to be at home again.
www.hornetshype.com #5
Matt
05/11/08 09:58 AM
OK, party shifted from Gordon Bierch to ticktocks and mW's house! :)
#6
Ron Hitley
05/11/08 10:35 AM
@ Matt: I'll keep an eye out for you. I'll probably have on a white t-shirt with "www.hornets247.com" across the back. Nothing like free advertising.
www.hornets247.com #7
Matt
05/11/08 10:43 AM
Ron, See you there!
#8
ryan
05/11/08 03:25 PM
the hornets are the copycats , looks like they stole a spurs blueprint, lol as far as the series goes its the home court advantage that works against your team cuz its all about momentum with the nba the home team wins two then they lose two in a row , there confidence goes in the toilet for their home crowd to bail them out and its too much, spurs all the way spurs fan for life, ryan
#9
Interrohater
05/11/08 06:37 PM
@Ryan: Good call with your analysis of the Spurs "vaunted defense". I think your idea of defense is shut-down, block party, 40 steals type of defense. Spurs don't play that way. It's a team defense that tries to create havoc in the passing lanes and routing scorers to the baseline, stuff that the casual observer won't be able to discern. Also, I must say that I'm very disappointed in the Hornets fan base. I told my wifebefore game 1 was"The thing I like about playing New Orleans is their fans aren't nasty and they won't be booing throughout the game. And lo and behold, through every Spurs possession, Hornets fans betrayed my trust.Did you hear that from Spurs fans? No.
www.interrohater.com #10
Ron Hitley
05/12/08 01:10 AM
@ interrohater: You don't like Hornets fans because they boo the opponent? I don't get it. And I'd agree with Ryan's assessment of a "vaunted" Spurs defense through the first three games. They allowed the Hornets to average over 100 points.
www.hornets247.com #11
interrohater
05/12/08 03:35 AM
@Ron: Right, it's uncalled for. I understand booing a bad call, or a hard foul, or obvious stupidity. But to act that way throughout an entire game on every possession is ridiculous. The Hornets are fond of saying that they've patterned their game after the Spurs, but their fans still have a long way to go. Also, I never said I didn't like hornets fans, I said I was disappointed. I love New Orleans and the people. I even saw a game in New Orleans vs. Grizzlies. Agree all you want, but "vaunted defense", again, doesn't necessarily mean things you can put on a stat sheet. Go ahead and show meall of your statistics, and I will show you four championships and an even series. Show me one nasty block from Tyson Chandler and I will show you8 altered shots and rebounds. Listen, this Hornets team is incredibly talented and is definitely good enough to win this series, but you do have to recognize what the opposition is doing. Imagine if Byron Scott thought exactly as you do and didn't change a thing after these two losses. I'm not sure you'd be too happy with him.
#12
Ron Hitley
05/12/08 04:08 AM
@ interrohater: The fans started booing everyone and everything midway through the season, and it was pretty effective. It even rattled the Spurs in a regular season game, so I can't fault them for doing it. The fans believe all that booing gives their team a better chance to win, so they do it. I'm honestly surprised that anyone would have a problem with that. And I don't think anyone said that the Hornets shouldn't make adjustments for Game 5. I thought we were fine before last night, but now there's obvious cause for concern. And one more thing: I think Ryan and myself do a pretty good job at appreciating and respecting opposing teams here. There's a lot of blogs out there that talk shit about opposing teams all the time and they even step up the abuse for the playoffs, but that's not what we're about. If the Spurs win this series, I won't be ripping on Tony Parker or Tim Duncan or the referees; I'll be looking at what the Hornets did wrong and how they can improve in the future.
www.hornets247.com #13