The Golden State Warriors ain't looking that good after the defection of Baron Davis and off-season injury to Monta Ellis that will keep him off the court for a few months. So you'd could probably assume that the Hornets will smack them when they roll into town October 5th for the Hornet's opening pre-season game.
Don't hold your breath. This pre-season means nothing to the starters. Last season, when the Hornets still had everything to prove, David West made it fairly clear in an post-game interview he wasn't trying hard, and our shooters were terrible. It was actually bad enough that despite knowing the pre-season means nothing, I still grew privately worried about the pre-season shooting percentages of David West, Peja Stojakovic and Morris Peterson:
| Name | FG/FGA | FG% | 3PT/3PTA | 3PT% |
| M. Peterson | 11/48 | 24% | 5/28 | 19% |
| P. Stojakovic | 26/79 | 33% | 12/40 | 30% |
| D. West | 24/81 | 29.6% | 0/1 | 0% |
An inspiring display, eh? Of course, Peterson went on to have his 2nd best year ever in 3-point accuracy(39.4%), Peja destroyed his old benchmark for 3-point accuracy(44%), and David West stroked it from the field at an impressive 48% clip. Remember that when four of our big five don't seem to be taking the games too seriously.
However, while the pre-season means little or nothing to the Hornets starters not named Morris Peterson, it will mean everything to the rest of the team. Chandler, West, Stojakovic and Paul will be on the floor for less than half the game, and the rest of the Hornets will play big minutes so Byron can determinee the starting shooting guard role and the three primary backup positions - Big, Wing, and Guard. Here are my contenders, and how I think it will shake out.
Starting Shooting Guard:
Morris Peterson v James Posey v Devin Brown v Rasual Butler v Julian Wright
In the end, I don't actually expect Morris to lose his starting position. He's come in with the right attitude, he plays adequate defense, and he's an integral part of spreading the floor for the first unit. Posey may be clutch and defensively nasty, but he's not as consistent a 3-point shooter. Brown is more slasher than shooter, but ball creativity that's needed on the second unit. Butler has proven to be consistently inconsistent over the past few years, and Julian Wright . . . well . . . I just can't see it happening yet, though it would be a nice surprise.
Now, don't get me wrong, I wouldn't be at all surprised to see Peterson lose his spot in the starting lineup a few months into the season if his contributions start to slip like they did at the end of last year.
Back-up Big:
First off - I want to say that when I say back-up Big, I generally mean the center position. Sometimes this means Power Forward too, but considering the dearth of talent we have behind Chandler, I'm hoping it won't mean that. On to the contenders:
Hilton Armstrong v Melvin Ely v Ryan Bowen v Sean Marks
As usual, we are getting good stories out of training camp about Ely arriving for camp in great shape, and that Sean Marks may have potential to take this position. Surprisingly, we haven't heard a peep about Hilton Armstrong while last year they raved about him. Hopefully that means Hilton is flying under the radar. Probably that means Hilton isn't expected to contribute much more than he did last year, and I have no faith in Sean Marks producing anything at all. This means we'll have the same big man rotation we did last year behind Chandler. Ely for ten games, Hilton for ten games, Ely for seven games, Hilton for seven games, Byron getting sick of it and playing Marks for two games, then putting in Ryan Bowen for about a dozen before finally getting sick of that and going back to rotating between Ely and Hilton. Not good. At least we'll get to see a series of games of Bowen running around with his odd mix of infectious energy and hilarious awkwardness. (Anyone else think this should be Bowen's Theme Song? Careful, the language is not safe for work)
Backup-up Wing:
James Posey v Julian Wright v Rasual Butler
James Posey will reign supreme here. Coming out of camp, I don't think there's anyone who expects him to have not wrapped up being the first one off the bench to spell Peja, Peterson, and possibly David West as well. It is a bit of a hard pill to swallow in one respect: Julian Wright is simply oozing potential, but this team isn't about potential, it's about contending. That means that the most ready players will play now, with no consideration for potential given. The only consolation is that every game there are stretches were two of the three Posey backs up won't be on the floor. Julian should be able to snag minutes then. Rasual Butler? Unfortunately, by the time a player is 26 or 27, they have established what they will be in the league. Butler is 29. Don't expect anything new.
Back-up Guard
Devin Brown v Mike James
One thing that's always been true about Byron Scott's teams - he likes to have a pair of ballhandlers at the guard positions. This will probably be Morris Peterson's ultimate downfall, since he isn't comfortable pushing the ball up the floor or handling pressure. In the past, Byron has thrown out guards like Kerry Kittles, Lucious Harris, Speedy Claxton, and Jannero Pargo, and played them big minutes next to his star point guards as well as in relief of them. Both Devin Brown and Mike James have good handles, so both are going to have their chance to seize the backup role - and whichever seizes the spot should probably expect minutes behind both Peterson and Paul.
This is a hard one to call - and it's clear by Byron telling the Times-Picayune that this the most important battle in camp, he doesn't know which way he's going to go either. My own personal take is that Mike James is going to win the in-camp battle based on his long-range shooting and greater speed with the ball, but eventually lose the position a month or so into the season due to poor defense - something Byron will not forgive.
Oh - and in case you missed it, ESPN's Marc Stein started the Hornets out 3rd in his Power Rankings, while ESPN's John Hollinger picked the Hornets to win 50 games and come in 4th in the Western Conference. Of course, Hollinger also picked the Hornets to not improve last year at all and only win 39 games. I'm just sayin'.


12 jaw-dropping comments post your own
Mikey
10/01/08 12:48 PM
Right on Ryan. I'm intrigued to see our backup center/PF, Selvton Marlystrong. I'm also excited to see how Coach Scott uses James Posey, because that dude can play the 2, 3, or 4. And if Byron is concerned about 2nd unit offense, or the tread on Peja's tires, I can eventhink of situationswhere Posey starts and Peja comes in off the bench. For Devin Brown, our other free agent add-on, his key to getting minutes is going to getting to the freethrow line. If he can do that on a consistent basis, and play a little defense, he will see a definite spike in his playing time. Just one question: Why not PJ Brown? He has his jewelry, and I haven't heard him say "I'm retired." If he could help his hometown club get to the summit of the NBA, what a story that'd make.
#1
Ron Hitley
10/02/08 01:05 AM
I'm pretty much ruling out Rasual Butler and Sean Marks as contributors this season. I'd love to be proven wrong, but I can't see them doing much. @Mikey: In the spirit of Selvton Marlystrong, should we refer to our backup point guard combo as James Brown?
www.hornets247.com #2
Brad
10/02/08 04:58 AM
@Ron: About your backup PG combo, I feeeeeel good, like sugar and spice. You knew that I would now....
HornetsAsylum.com #3
Brad
10/02/08 04:58 AM
@Ron: About your backup PG combo, I feeeeeel good, like sugar and spice. You knew that I would now....
HornetsAsylum.com #4
Brad
10/02/08 04:59 AM
Nothing like posting the same entry twice... same entry twice... same entry twice. ;)
HornetsAsylum.com #5
Ron Hitley
10/02/08 06:58 AM
@Brad: I could delete the duplicate, but then our comment count would go down and we wouldn't feel so popular.
www.hornets247.com #6
Mikey
10/02/08 09:21 AM
Time for me to ensure the Hornets Game Ops folks have "Get On Up" in their musical bag of tricks.
#7
Anonymous
10/02/08 10:19 AM
Mike James is actually a decent defender. I remember when he played in Detroit, him and hunter would pressure after opposing ball handlers nonstop when they were in the game.
#8
Jon
10/03/08 08:06 AM
I think Posey will start sooner or later. He does everything that Peterson does offensively (i.e. just shoot threes and at just as good a rate) but does it while providing better individual and team defense, taking fewer bad shots and playing with a nasty streak that's endearing to his home base. I think it comes down first Posey being able to guard 2 or 3s. Whover is the tougher perimeter cover, he'll handle it better than Peterson or Stojakovic. It doesn't matter that he can't dribble because Paul handles the ball 95 percent of the time anyway. Secondly, Posey is best suited to playing with someone who can create shots for him. There is no one on the second unit who can get him open shots like Paul can so Posey's offense will suffer and the Hornets will be deprived of benefitting from the fullest of his services--that Bowenish ability to play defense and hit threes. Peterson is better capable of fending for himself as a reserve. Just like Chandler is a good pairing with Paul because of all the lob passes, Posey should be linked with Paul as much as possible for the 30 minutes or so he plays.
#9
Anonymous
10/03/08 09:15 AM
Posey is gonna play more minutes than MoPete onmost games and he will be there in the clutch so he will be playing with CP alot who will find him his shots. Im really exited to see Wright and Posey in action those 2 are great defensive players and will shut opposing teams.
#10
mW
10/03/08 08:54 PM
So whatever. There is a game Sunday! And a Buzzfest! Oh man, it's here! It's here!
hornetshype.com #11
Ron Hitley
10/04/08 01:23 AM
See ya there, mW!
www.hornets247.com #12