The Hornets have lost four of their past six games. In that stretch, we've managed to score 100 points just once, against a visiting Miami Heat team who have given up an average of 102.5 points in their other four road games this season, three of them losses. Through those same six games, we've witnessed seven quarters where the Hornets have failed to score 20 points or more, including a 7-point second period against those mighty Bobcats in Charlotte. As a team, we're shooting just 42.8% from the field since we opened the season 3-0.
The Hornets are supposed to be better than this.
Some folks are scratching their heads, unsure what the problem is. Others are suggesting that we're just not making jump shots, and figure those looks will start dropping again soon and all will be right with the world. Plenty of people are just chalking this slump up as part of the rigors of an 82-game season; ups and downs, strikes and gutters and all that. Everything will be fine in a week or so.
I really hope the Hornets' struggles can be attributed to a temporary shooting funk or a mysterious fleeting rough patch, but I don't think it's that simple. Watching each of the past six games, even the wins, it's become apparent to me that the problem runs deeper than that. Put simply, that problem is this: our offense is about as sophisticated as a tramp in a shopping cart.
Essentially, here's what our offense has consisted of this season (yeah, I talked about this in the recap of the Blazers game last Friday, but methinks it bears repeating):
- Killer play number 1 - Let Chris Paul run the pick and roll and see what he can create out of that. Maybe he'll force a switch and find Tyson at the rim. Maybe he'll draw a crowd in the lane and find an open shooter. Or maybe he'll just go ahead and do the scoring thing himself.
- Killer play number 2 - Give David West the rock on the low block or on the wing about 17 feet from the hoop. Maybe he can unleash a sick move to beat his man and get a bucket. Or maybe he'll rain a jumper because he's got nice range like that.
- Killer play number 3 - Hope and pray that somebody other than Chris Paul and David West can get an isolation and beat their man off the dribble.
And that my friends, is the complete lack of genius that is the Hornets' offense. Sure, we play CP off the ball every so often, we have our wings screen along the baseline maybe two or three times a quarter, and I'm pretty sure I saw somebody cut up to the free throw line once during the Rockets game. But 90% of the time, you can bet we end up relying on one of those amazingly amazing killer plays to get a bucket before the shot clock reaches zero.
This mode of attack is proving very easy for defenses to stop. Essentially, all they're doing is refusing to let West go one-on-one, they're getting a body on Chandler when he rolls to the rim, and they don't stray far from our shooters so we don't get wide open looks from three. Even if the opposition can do two of those three things for most of the night, we're in trouble.
So why did we do so well last season? Aren't we running pretty much the same offense now that we were then?
Yeah, pretty much. At least I think so. I'd love to go back and take a look at some games from last season, but I don't have the means to do that. If I did, my best guess is that I'd find a lot less double and triple teams on West and defenses so focused on Chris Paul that they leave Tyson stroll down the lane untouched and a guy like Peja alone on the perimeter way too often.
Nowadays, not so much.
And so it's gotta be up to the coaching staff to turn this around. No way we're beating teams like the Jazz or Lakers in a seven-game series if we remain solely dependent on our stars playing better than their stars. That's pretty much what we're doing now, and we probably have enough talent on the roster to win 50+ games that way. But in the playoffs against well-coached teams we're going to need a lot more than Chris Paul doing ungodly deeds. We'll need easy buckets off well executed plays. We'll need guys like Peja and Posey constantly moving and mixing it up mid-range instead of having them chilling on the wing waiting for a kick out, which was all they got to do in Houston on Saturday night. We'll need somebody, anybody, cutting and catching the ball at the free throw line and posing a threat from there. Just show me something more sophisticated than the high school offense we've been running.
Now I'm wondering, how long should I wait to see some improvement? How long before I start questioning Byron Scott's coaching ability? I love the guy, but part of me wonders if he's taken this team as far as he can. Does he really have what it takes to lead us to a championship?
Probably best to leave those questions unanswered for a little while. In the meantime, I'll take Mikey's advice, as posted in the comments of the Rockets recap:
Team sports are a chess game. There are always adjustments being made. Bottom line is that the bugs are still above .500, and have had the toughest schedule in the league to start the season. Its foolish to expect instant changes from one night to the next. Even changes from one week to the next are a little unrealistic. I too saw the lack of movement away from the ball [against the Rockets], especially on the weak side. This isn't the playoffs, and we're not seeing the same opposing squad every other night for a seven game series. What you really want to see is gradual improvement. The Hornets have another game coming up against the Lakers in December. Let's see how they've improved from now till then.
That sounds fair. I'll hold my tongue and hope for the best until then. I'll keep reading Hornets Hype and try focusing on the positive. At least the Spurs are still struggling, right? Oh no, wait. They're just a game behind us in the standings, without Parker and Ginobili.
Hmm.
In other news, don't miss the latest installment of the Blogger Power Rankings, hosted this week by True Blue Jazz. An entertaining read as always.


10 thoughtful comments post your own
Roc217
11/17/08 08:57 PM
I can't agree more with this whole post. it is up to the coach and staff to upgrade their plays. Its one thing to have these plays as your bread and butter but you've got to have something else. I remember Scott telling the guys before the season to look at the Celtics and how on offense the players look like they are all on a string...when one moves the other moves and so on. But Hornets offense doesn't even call for that because there is no movement. They react to the defense instead of making the defense react to the Hornets.
Niall, I can link you to some games from last season, regular season or playoffs. But what you said about them not doubling Dwest and CP drawing the defense out of position was correct. That's how his teamates got so wide open. They came over to CP almost everytime and he found the open man. This year, they are letting him have space more often knowing he's shoot 2nd kind of PG.I hope they get it together. They are better than how they've played lately. If they have a hard time beating Sacramento and Okh next week I will really be worried.
#1
ticktock6
11/17/08 09:14 PM
I dunno, Niall, if the Hornets drop even one of those OKC games, Posey's gonna be so drunk you won't even understand his typing. You might want to stay away from the Hype too, in that eventuality.
hornetshype.com #2
Mikey
11/17/08 10:35 PM
On the other hand, knocking a couple of perimeter shots will loosen up the lane tremendously. This is going to sound kinda funny, but I see an opportunity for David West to get his assist numbers up. I'm sure once he and the coaching staff sees some film on what opposing defenses are doing to him, he will see opportunities to find open shooters. Of course, the next step is for them to actually knock down shots. Another thing; let's face it... Tyson Chandler is not a factor offensively, unless it's offensive rebounding, put-backs, or the alley oop. He is not comfortable with that jump shot. You can tell thats not a natural motion for him, and the shot is way too flat. It might sound like i'm talking about players, but these are things you game plan for. This is a coaching responsibility.
Quick stat: In the Hornets' four losses, Peja and Peterson are shooting 31% from the floor.... thats beyond bad.
I'm not going to put it solely on the coaches though. Its amazing what some confidence will do to your movement away from the ball, and you can clearly see a lack of confidence in players' shot-making. The guys run down the court, and stand in the spot where they are most comfortable. Peteson is down in the corner, and Peja on the wing. Some of it might be by design, but I'd be willing to bet that some of it can also be attributed to a lack of confidence.
#3
Roc217
11/18/08 12:48 AM
Well Niall, ask and you shall receive. Excerpt from TP article:
"Scott said after Monday's practice he made some minor adjustments to provide more ball movement to attack defenses better. "
http://blog.nola.com/hornetsbeat/2008/11/new_orleans_hornets_on_edge_af.html
Let's hope those adjustments materialize in game action
#4
Niall Doherty
11/18/08 07:43 AM
@Roc217: I'll be watching carefully tomorrow night for those adjustments. I don't expect us to suddenly figure it all out and dominate for the rest of the season, but we need to at least start mixing it up a bit. What we're doing simply isn't working.
@ticktock: I'm sure a drunk Posey blog would be a good read.
www.ndoherty.com #5
Mikey
11/18/08 11:12 AM
Good boy, Niall. Don't expect major changes tomorrow night against the Kings. I'd target either the Denver game or Portland game at the end of next week to see if any of those changes are implimented, and how well those changes (if any) are working.
You know, I recall the Bugs running more screens for Peja to pick and pop in the 2nd half of the season last year. I think getting him going is the key for our success right now. West is going to get his, even if it is ugly at times. CP is CP. What the Hornets need is a bonafide, reliable 3rd option.
#6
Niall Doherty
11/18/08 11:34 AM
Tyson talks about the recent struggles in his latest blog on NBA.com:
"Our personnel is a little different this year and it's like we're still trying to find our rhythm. We're a little too stagnant and predictable, and that's something we're adjusting right now. We come down the court, the ball stays on one side, and if we don't accomplish anything, it's pretty much one-on-one, just trying to get a shot off. So, we'll adjust that. Coach has some things planned for us."
http://my.nba.com/thread.jspa?threadID=5700026652
www.ndoherty.com #7
Caleb
11/18/08 04:43 PM
I have to say its very encouraging to see Scott and Chandler both make public comments about the lack of movement and the predictable nature of the offense. I mean, Byron Scott is the guy who took the freaking New Jersey Nets (not that they weren't a talented team in those days) to back to back Finals appearances... so I have faith in his ability to adjust and adapt.
I also think we need to see either Mo Pete or Peja step up and become a "third option,"... not just waiting for kickouts but actually being able to find their own shot and/or drive to the hoop. Peterson has done this a few times but he doesn't do it consistently. The main criticism of the Hornets offense is that its too reliant on Chris Paul (and to a much lesser extent David West) ... and that's probably true. Granted, it needs to be focused on Paul for the most part... because when you have the most talented point guard in the game you want to take advantage of that, but I would love to have a guy who can put up 15-20 points with Paul not even playing. A true shooting guard...
All in all I'm still pretty confident about this team and this season.
#8
Sosh
11/18/08 09:27 PM
I don't know what Mo Pete's deal is. He shows glimpses of a legit scorer, where he's attacking the basket and shooting the corner 3 with confidence. But usually he seems pretty complacent to play D and be a spectator on O. It would be nice if he was a legit threat to attack the hoop consistently. Especially since we all know Peja is allergic to the paint.
#9
Mark
11/18/08 10:48 PM
Interesting note Niall. DX was potent last year with his unpredictable post-moves and ability to finish with his version of a tear-drop near the rim with either hand. Seems this year he's taken too much of a liking to the right side of the rim, and defense have been able to switch their big from weak side to double DX.
I'd be interested to see what kind of playcalling Coach Scott will implement. Perhaps reading the defense isn't the first option from here on out.
www.dogpile.com/ #10