Blogger Power Rankings
First off, there is a new installment of the Blogger Power Rankings out this week. The Hornets keep hanging around that 6-8 spot. Can't say I disagree. Enjoy, though I was a little short of witty contributions this time around, but the other blogs picked up the slack.
Losses to Bad teams
I wasn't terribly upset by the New York loss. It was disappointing, but really it was just one of those off games that every team has. Not one of the Hornets shot well - or even came close to shooting well, and we only lost by six. The defensive effort was irritating at times, but that happens. Every team has games like this, even the premier teams in the league: Orlando has losses to Memphis and Toronto. The Lakers have losses to Sacramento and Indiana. The Celtics have losses to Indiana, Golden State and the Knicks. Even the the six-loss Cavaliers have losses to Miami and Washington. The Hornets have slipped against Charlotte, Sacramento and the Knicks.
The games I get upset over are when we get blown out by good teams. Quite simply, the team should be prepared and ready to roll against those teams. A loss by ten or less? Fine. Blowouts? Those put me in a foul temper.
The Rotation
I'm not super happy with any of the Hornets wing players. Based on this years contributions, I rank them: Butler, Posey, Stojakovic, Peterson, Wright, Brown. No, I don't think Peterson has shown much this year, and I think we should trade him for a back up big who can actually rebound. I agree with some of the recent commentary that the Hornets should move Butler to the second unit and use him as a sixth man since he's probably our most skilled non-Paul perimeter scorer. There is one qualification, however, to that idea. Earlier this summer I did an evaluation of Rasual Butler and it became pretty evident that Rasual is only effective when he's getting at least 25 minutes per game. If he falls below that number, his shooting stroke suffers(it drops from 43% to 28%) and he generally becomes a liability. That is why I'd propose the following rotation:
Starters: Chandler/West/Wright/Stojakovic/Paul
2nd Unit: Armstrong/Posey/Butler/Peterson/Daniels
Starting Wright allows him to gain experience and have his mistakes minimized by the presence of the other starters. He can also play 20 good minutes and be replaced by Butler, who will still get the minutes he'd need to stay productive. This rotation becomes even more attractive if Peterson can be moved for a rebounder, who would slot into the second unit and move Posey to small forward and Butler to shooting guard.
I'll tell Byron to make it happen at our next tee time. On to the game:
Matchup: Hornets(22-12) @ Mavericks(22-16)
Off Efficiency: Hornets 106.8(8th), Mavericks 105.2(13th)
Def Efficiency: Hornets 103.0(11th), Mavericks 103.0(11th)
The Mavericks are currently on a 3 game losing streak, and they played last night in Denver, where they lost by two despite a 44-point night by Dirk Nowitzki. Fortunately for the Hornets, Dirk played 42 minutes in that game, so we'll see how much he's got left in the tank tonight.
The Hornets didn't much care about their game against New York. They lost. Hopefully they won't make the same mistake tonight against a division rival.
Injuries
Mavericks: Josh Howard is out with a bad wrist.
Hornets: Sean Marks should not play due to a broken Jumper. Unfortunately, it appears it may be contagious.
Positional Analysis
PG: Jason Kidd v Chris Paul
Advantage: New Orleans
Let's pretend we didn't see Paul destroy Kidd in the playoffs last season. All you'd need to know is this: Last night the Nuggets were isolating Chauncey Billups on Kidd because Kidd couldn't stay in front of him, and Paul is what, about 25% faster than Billups? 50%?
SG: Antoine Wright v Rasual Butler
Advantage: New Orleans
Wright is a terrible offensive player, shooting 37% from the floor and 20% from deep. He's out there primarily for defense. If you want to pick a player to sag off from, here's your man. You can't sag off of Butler(it's still weird to type that) - and he's good defensively too.
SF: Gerald Green v Peja Stojakovic
Advantage: New Orleans
Gerald is the opposite of Antoine Wright. He's got no defensive prowess, but is capable offensively. He's been forced into the starting role with Josh Howard out and has been mediocre over their last few games, averaging only about 15-20 minutes. Peja is really struggling with his shot right now, but I still keep the faith he can outplay Green.
PF: Dirk Nowitzki v David West
Advantage: Dallas
Nowitzki is having another one of his exceptional seasons, while West is scoring fine but his defense and rebounding is leaving a lot to be desired. I'll give a fair edge to the German Bomber. Maybe we should give him the nickname "Schmitt", as in Messerschmitt - the german attack plane from World War II.
C: Erick Dampier v Tyson Chandler
Advantage: Even
Come back to me Tyson. You should be dominating this.
Bench
Advantage: Dallas
Brandon Bass, Jason Terry, Jose Juan Barea, and DeSagana Diop make an alright group of backups. Terry alone propels this unit way past the Hornet's squad, as he averages 20 points a game. The Hornets lack scoring punch from their second unit, and their defense has proven only so-so this season. Pargo, wherefore art thou, Pargo?
Enjoy the game.


12 masterful comments post your own
ticktock6
01/14/09 01:45 PM
I kinda like your lineup and the reasoning behind it. I got all mad last weekend because of Mo, but then I sobered up and realized it is even more disturbing seeing Julian Wright benched because he has a mega dose of unrealized potential, whereas we know exactly what the rest of our bench is. So, back to FREE JUJU! (Though I think Mo can stand to play more minutes than he's getting. Have you done the stats on how he plays when given bigger minutes off the bench? Cause from just watching, no math done, it seems that he never scores when he plays 8 or less junk minutes, whereas he's given us 15ish pts when he plays more.)
What's up with our bench's D? We should be better than we are, with those guys.
I completely lost my train of thought. Go Hornets. Free Juju.
hornetshype.com #1
Mikey
01/14/09 02:39 PM
Yo Ryan, if you want to go all-out with your WWII references, then Dirk "Messerschmitt" Nowitski's number should be changed to 109, right?
Note to Hornets' Coaching Staff: If you're that concerned about your team's lack of consistency when it comes to energy and aggressiveness, why not give some other guys a shot (Wright, Bowen).
#2
CP3ISTHEMVP
01/14/09 03:19 PM
i totally agree when is Byron Scott gonna start playin juju? last year he showed some real promise now he cant get off the bench. mayb experiment a little and try using juju as a starter i think some games we lack a real attack the basket type playa. does anybody think we should change coach?
#3
Niall Doherty
01/14/09 03:32 PM
The current rotation makes Byron seem short-sighted. What bothers me more than losing games now is setting ourselves up to lose more down the road. I'd like to see Byron allowing Wright to play and make his mistakes now so he'll be ripe for the playoffs. The way things are going, JuJu will still be in a suit for the postseason. That will be a damn shame, because he can definitely be a huge piece of the puzzle.
As for changing coach, I don't think we should do anything that drastic unless we can actually upgrade from Byron. Elite NBA coaches are rare. I'd take any of these guys over Byron: Phil Jackson, Pop, Nate McMillan, Jerry Sloan, Mike D'Antoni, Hubie Brown and Rudy T. Unfortunately, the first five guys on that list already have jobs and the other two are retired.
www.ndoherty.com #4
stormsurge
01/14/09 03:38 PM
I have a better nickname for Dirk: Focke-Wolfe. When he's pissing us off, we can all call him a Focker.
www.stormsurgephoto.com #5
Juncti
01/14/09 04:00 PM
As much as I want to see JuJu back in the line up, I'm not going to frown on Coach Scott. As they showed during the Laker game, he's the 3rd winningest coach in the post season. I forget who was number two but Phil Jackson was number 1.
Was was interesting was an interview with Scott I read earlier. He mentioned he can do all the X's and O's, but once they're on the court it's up to the players to bring the will to execute.
I'm not really sure what to make of that, do our players just not have the discipline of an elite team?
Full article I'm talking about http://blog.nola.com/hornetsbeat/2009/01/new_orleans_coach_byron_scott_1.html
Another interesting nugget from that is he mentions never, as a player or coach, has he had to keep on players about playing hard every game.
#6
Mikey
01/14/09 05:10 PM
Niall... if you take Mike D'Antoni off that list, I completely agree.
@ Juncti: Kinda makes you wonder if the players are still smellin' what Byron's steppin' in, doesn't it? Personally, I think it has more to do with youth and having added pressure that comes with expectations of playoff success. One difficult thing for youngsters to deal with is that you still have to play the season. It's a long season, and you cannot coast through it, at least not in today's Western Conference. Tonight is a big game. The Hornets are only two games ahead of the Mavericks, and they are currently 9th in the West.
I also have to disagree with Coach Scott on this quote from that article, "You know, Xs and Os, all that is on me. But energy and effort, I have nothing to do with that. That's an individual thing." Wrong, coach. If someone isn't bringing energy and effort, it's up to you to bench him and put someone else in that will bring it. Send a wake-up call, even if it's Chris Paul. That's your job.
#7
Caleb462
01/14/09 05:12 PM
I love your rotation idea. I am a fan of Mo Pete but with the way Butler has played this year, the potential of Juju and the prescence of Peja (pleease get your shot back Peja! I still love you!)... we are stacked at the wing position and do need a big man who can crash the boards. Unfortunately, I don't see Coach Scott transfering Wright from suit and tie to starting five anytime soon. Which is a damn shame.
That said... I'm not with anyone who thinks this team needs a coaching change. I'm really frustrated with some of his decisions this year... but the team is still in good shape and a major change like that would only hurt team chemistry. Scott, as mysterious as his judgment can be sometimes, has already proven himself as a player (3 rings) and a coach (2 finals appearnces and a really solid playoff coaching record as mentioned above). This team is still headed in a great direction.
neworleansbasketball.blogspot.com #8
Caleb462
01/14/09 05:17 PM
Oh but I should add that I also disagree with Scott's comments.. motivation IS part of a coach's job.
And not to pile on Scott (as I mentioned above I support him for the most part), but did anyone see on CST when Gil interviewed Posey and mentioned the 13 consecutive 2nd quarter losses. Posey said he didn't know anything about that! Shouldn't Scott (and the coaching staff as a whole) bring things like that to the attention of the players?... *especially* the bench players.
neworleansbasketball.blogspot.com #9
Niall Doherty
01/14/09 06:32 PM
@ Mikey: Take a look at the video at the link below. It's a pretty good breakdown of what the Knicks did defensively on Monday, and it makes a case for D'Antoni completely out-coaching Scott in that game.
http://www.hornets247.com/news/lagniappe/2009/01/14/knicks-defense-against-the-hornets
www.ndoherty.com #10
Mikey
01/14/09 07:21 PM
Yea I saw that... but I wouldn't call D'Antoni an "upgrade" or "elite". His scheme worked in that game, but we left at least 14 points on the floor with alot of missed gimmie layups as well. I'm not sold. I know you're a believer in D'Antoni, and you know I'm not.
#11
Juncti
01/14/09 07:23 PM
Only problem with benching the players that aren't bringing the energy is, Scott would have had to just forfeit the game, the whole team isn't bringing it.
Good point on Posey though. Not knowing that the bench had basically not been performing is not good. That should be drilled into their head until they prove otherwise.
We really need a deeper bench to contend in the West or for a championship. I'm sure other teams are trembling at the thought of facing Marks and Brown.
#12