Matchup: Hornets(26-13) @ Timberwolves(13-27)
Off Efficiency: Hornets 107.1(8th), Wolves 101.7(24th)
Def Efficiency: Hornets 103.3(12th), Wolves 107.0(26th)
The Wolves have ripped off their best chain of games this season over their past ten contests, going 7-3 over that span, including a five-game win streak. I was fairly impressed, but when I looked closer at the schedule I realized it's a bit of fool's gold. Their wins are over Golden State, Memphis(x2), Chicago, Oklahoma City, Milwaukee, the Clippers, and Phoenix. Hardly murderers row, there. However, I cannot dismiss them out of hand either - if you study their games even a little closer, they are playing better. Since they settled Foye into their starting shooting guard role, this team has come alive - and over the last month, their losses haven't been any worse than by seven points. This team is dangerous, especially against a wounded animal . . . or insect.
The Hornets, of course, are missing a few legs, and would definitely qualify as wounded. Unlike the Nets, who would struggle putting together a solid frontcourt rotation if they were handed Dwight Howard, the Timberwolves have a trio of bangers, including a skilled post player that will make you bleed down low: Al Jefferson. This game will be a true test of character for the Hornets.
Injuries:
Hornets: West, Chandler and Armstrong are still questionable for the game.
Timberwolves: None
Positional Analysis:
PG: Sebastian Telfair v Chris Paul
Advantage: Hornets
If you can get past Telfair's 34% shooting, 1.02 points per shot, 2 rebounds per game, and pretty poor assist to turnover ratio en route to 4 assists per game - you have a pretty good player - who can't rebound, shoot, pass or . . who am I kidding? Have fun with Paul, Telfair.
SG: Randy Foye v Rasual Butler
Advantage: Even
After years of being injured or played out of position at point guard, Foye is finally being used at his natural shooting guard spot. His shooting percentages have climbed as a result, and in January he's cranking it at 50% from the floor for twenty points per game. He is becoming, essentially, Ben Gordon of the Bulls. Rasual's offense is as good, but I give him the edge on defense, evening this bracket.
SF: Ryan Gomes v Peja Stojakovic
Advantage: Hornets
Gomes is an excellent complimentary piece. He hustles, defends, and can shoot surprisingly well. However, he's probably suited to more of a James Posey bench role, rather than being the third option for a first unit. Peja, particularly with the way he's been playing recently, should eat him alive. One of our commenters pointed out a few posts ago that Peja has once more started playing with a perfectly clean-shaven face. You should go back and read this post from last year, and you'll see this has happened before, and we had similar results.(and hopefully you'll get a few laughs if you haven't seen the post before)
PF: Craig Smith v Melvin Ely
Advantage: Timberwolves
Neither of these guys should start for an NBA team. Craig Smith, however, at least deserves to be in a rotation. Craig is known as the Rhino, and he's a very short, very wide big man with some finishing skill around the basket and a propensity for rebounds and fouls.
C: Al Jefferson v Sean Marks.
Advantage: Timberwolves
A lot of people love Al Jefferson, but I've never been entirely sold on him. To me, he's Zach Randolph, if Zach had never been run out of town for being an annoying git. Both players can score and rebound close to the basket, neither defend very well - though I will grant that Al at least tries on that end of the floor. Al is also not the most efficient scorer around. He can score - but barely five free throw attempts and 1.17 points per shot from your star scorer isn't going to cut it. That all said, if he ends up going against Sean Marks for most of the night, we'll probably be treated to the second coming of David Robinson.
Bench
Advantage: Timberwolves
The Timberwolves have two players off the bench who are pretty solid: Mike Miller and Kevin Love. Miller is having an off year, for some reason focusing on passing and rebounding instead of his best skill: shooting. Still, he'll have an impact - and put his shooting next to Kevin Love and that makes a nice one-two punch off the bench offensively. Love started off the season struggling a bit, but recently he's been coming on, rebounding extremely well and knocking down the 15 foot jumpshot with regularity. If the Horntes play Julian, Posey, and Daniels together, I'm fine with our second unit. If they ever add a rebounder, that'll be a great unit. When Armstrong rejoins it, it should be solid, though I dread the thought of Armstrong trying to catch those insane no-one-expecting-it-not-even-his-own-teammates passes that Julian likes to toss.
Enjoy the game.


12 life-affirming comments post your own
JChangNZ
01/22/09 11:57 PM
I have faith in Sean. People and fans alike need to give and show him support to boost his confidence and morale. That's really what he AND the Hornets needs right now.
#1
emir
01/23/09 12:34 AM
hey off topic question about hornet home games do people still do the peja heads? you know on the stick and they run around kind of thing
i loved that last year but haven't heard much about it this year
#2
saltandcarbon
01/23/09 02:01 AM
I'm not convinced JChangNZ. I'd say Marks has been shown a lot of faith - by the coaching staff especially in the minutes he's been given ahead of other players. And I think that's the key point. It isn't that the fans are jeering Marks as a player, just that he gets more burn than objectively more talented and seemingly more suitable players. I kinda feel sorry for him since he's probably taking those bad shots and making bad decisions because there is too much pressure on him and he is out of his depth.
#3
Juff
01/23/09 05:37 AM
@ emir: i've seen peja heads this year.
btw, we cannot see games in europe anymore since the cavs-game.
the more i aprecciate this blog.
if anyoney has some secret source for archived hornets games, PLEEEASE ...!!!
no back to wolves:
#4
flowerfeeder
01/23/09 05:38 AM
Yes, they still do, emir.
www.myspace.com/noroomforsaints #5
Juncti
01/23/09 08:43 AM
Not to nitpick, but how can a Hornets blog not have any coverage or acknowledgment of CP3 being voted in as an All-Star starter? Especially when it looked like McGrady was going to steal it for so long.
I hope this is the start of many years of holding down the starting guard spot. It's still early in his career so it's nice to see this happening.
#6
stormsurge
01/23/09 09:34 AM
@Juncti, its in the news section unless its been deleted.
www.stormsurgephoto.com #7
Ryan Schwan
01/23/09 11:10 AM
Ouch, Juncti. Like stormsurge said, there are a bunch of links in the news section - and I didn't really have that much to add to it.
Of course, I don't get too excited over the All-Star game anyways.
www.hornets247.com #8
Mikey
01/23/09 11:41 AM
Don't know what to make of this game. The Wolves definitely have more frontcourt depth than the Hornets do, and should kill the Bugs in points in the paint. However, the Hornets have this guy that really hates to lose....
#9
Niall Doherty
01/23/09 12:36 PM
Isn't an insect an animal? Like mammals, reptiles, fish and insects are all types of animals, right? Did we talk about this drunk one night, Mikey? It all sounds very familiar.
@ Juncti: We have plenty of links to news report and blog posts about CP starting the All-Star game in our News and Lagniappe sections. I just need to make that stuff is easier to find. Here are the links:
http://www.hornets247.com/news
http://www.hornets247.com/news/lagniappe
www.ndoherty.com #10
ChrisTrew.com
01/23/09 03:08 PM
Remember the Times Picayune from way back in the day? New Orleans Timberwolves - WE GOT 'EM.
Anyone?
www.christrew.com #11
Mo
01/23/09 06:18 PM
LOL! Seems every game the Hornets play is some sort of "test" or "test of character". No doubt Big Al will be more than a handful.
#12