In my last installment of Valuations of Hornet's players under contract for 2009-2010, I'll focus on the team's ballhandlers. One of the oddities(and weaknesses perhaps) about last year's Hornets was just how easily the players fit into my three favorite categories of Bigs, Wings and Ballhandlers. They just weren't a really versatile bunch, with only two players who could be considered cross-over players: Julian Wright, who was a wing sometimes used as a big, and Devin Brown, who was a ballhandler sometimes used as a wing . . . or the other way around . . . it's hard to tell when a guy is not particularly good at either role.
Anyways, after this, we'll get to a post elaborating what I feel the Hornets need. If I think the team can(or should) try to get back to contender status in a single season, and then begin talking about potential trades, free agent signings, and draft stuff. Away we go:
Devin Brown
Contract: 1 Year, $1.0 Mil(Minimum Contract, 80% of value paid by NBA)
Three seasons ago, Devin Brown was signed by the Hornets for half the season, and provided them with a pretty athletic, solid combo guard off the bench. Some of my favorite moments from that season was when Brown went head down, raised the ball above his head and launched himself at the basket for a dunk. Unfortunately, the Devin Brown who arrived in New Orleans this season was a lot heaver, a lot slower, and though he still liked to raise the ball above his head on drives, he had a worse chance of dunking the ball than my seven year old. It was a bit disheartening, but really, the guy is making the League Minimum. What did I expect?
Offense: Let's get this out of the way. Devin Brown was bad. Really bad. His true shooting % was 45.9%, which was the 7th worst percentage amongst Shooting Guards and Point Guards. He coupled that bad shooting with his highest usage in his career, firing up the ball on 20.6% of the Hornet's posessions while he was on the floor. As you can guess, that's a pretty bad combination. Combine the poor shooting with ranking dead last in assist rate and 47th in turnovers among point guards, and in the bottom 10 in both categories amongst shooting guards, and you end up fielding an offensive disaster.
Defense: According to 82games.com, Devin Brown played 2/3rds of his time at shooting guard, and 1/3rd at point guard. He was solid against point guards, holding them to a PER of 14.2, but was poor against shooting guards, allowing them a 17.3 PER. This is in line with what I saw too. Brown wasn't bad defensively - unless he was trying to guard an explosive shooting guard.
Rebounding: Devin Brown can rebound pretty well. His rate ranks him 12th amongst shooting guards, and 6th among point guards.
Summary & Trade Value: He makes a minimum contract, and is worth no more than that. The only way he'll be in a trade is if he's needed to make salaries matchup appropriately for approval by the league office.
Antonio Daniels
Contract: 1 Year, $6.6 Mil
I've always been a fan of Antonio Daniels. For years, he's been one of the most efficient point guards in the league, despite never putting up eye-popping numbers. When Jeff Bower somehow turned Mike James into Daniels, I was an extremely happy man. There is no way you'll ever convince me that wasn't a tremendously lopsided trade. That said, Daniels' game was predicated on a pretty quick first step - a step that at age 34, has started to fail him - and he has been in decline the last couple years.
Offense: Daniels ranked 28th amongst point guards with a true shooting % of 53.6. He ranked 12th amongst point guards with an assist rate of 34.1%. He ranked 44th with a turnover rate of 11.9%. In short, he's pretty much what you'd expect in a back up point guard - not quite good enough to be an effective starter, but with some strengths and weaknesess. One interesting thing to note - I remember consistenly wishing Daniels would look for his own shot a little more often at times - but believe it or not, he posted the second highest usage rate of his career, using 17.8% of his teams posessions when on the floor. (ranks in the bottom third for point guards) He's efficient, but just not that much of an offensive threat - and unfortunately, the Hornets second unit was built around the expectation an aggressive point guard.
Defense: Defense, combined with Daniels reluctance to shoot, is the reason why Byron never developed a lot of reliance on Daniels. Daniels allowed PERs of 16.9, which isn't absolutely awful until you realize it was usually second unit players doing it to him.
Rebounding: Daniels was the worst rebounder on the Hornets, posting a 4.5% rebound rate, good for 59th amongst point guards and 315th out of the 327 NBA players who averaged more than 6 minutes a game. Yeah, boardwork isn't his thing.
Summary & Trade Value: Daniels is still a decent backup point guard, and could hold value for a team wanting a veteran point guard. On a team where the vast majority of the offense doesn't flow from the point, he could be a very nice piece. To add to his value, his contract is moderately sized and expiring. Oh, and he's not Mike James.
Chris Paul
Contract: 3 Years, $45.6 Mil, Includes Player Option for One more year at $18 Mil
Yeah. Paul is pretty good. While playing heavy minutes over the last month of the season, he wore down visibly, but still produced a crazy season. Hopefully next year, having an off-season of rest and a better backup will allow him to carry his strong game into the post-season.
Offense: Paul finished 4th among point guards in True Shooting percentage, with a 59.9%. He finished 14th with an assist rate of 33.4%. He finished 11th in turnover rate at 9.0%, and was second in usage, consuming 27.9% of his teams posessions. Only Deron Williams approached that level of usage with the same efficient shooting, and only Tony Parker had a better level of posession with so low a turnover rate. One of a kind.
Defense: I've already mentioned this, but the Hornets were the 4th best team at stopping point guards, generally by having Paul force a better than average number of misses, refusing to foul, and playing the passing lanes, keeping opposing point guards to a very low assist rate.
Rebounding: Paul was the 3rd best rebounding point guard, pulling down 8.7% of rebounds. Among all guards, he'd rank 11th. Crazy little dude.
Summary & Trade Value: Paul's youth and production gives him the same value LeBron and Dwight Howard have on the open market, and if the Hornets trade him, my soul would be crushed.
And please, someone has to make a joke about the word "ball handlers". I've been dying to.


11 mighty comments post your own
Jeremy
05/27/09 03:46 PM
None of the ball handlers ascend from the water and states that the royal penis is clean do they???
#1
Ryan Schwan
05/27/09 10:04 PM
Good ol' coming to America.
www.hornets247.com #2
Andrea
05/27/09 11:11 PM
Chris Paul's great and all, but I hear Reggie Evans is by far the best ball handler in the league. Just ask Chris Kaman http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QFcinlrgojk
#3
Mark
05/27/09 11:37 PM
Devin Brown would not be so horrendous IF COACH SCOTT STOPPED USING HIM SO MUCH. I don't know why he relied on him as our staple bench guard for more than 5 minutes! And AD really wasn't as good as I remembered, but it's the absolute truth regarding Mike James. I was never critical of AD this season though. Something about him maybe.
The lack of versatility of our players, I think, attributes to coach Scott. Yes, our players are either too short, too weak, or too slow to be upgradeable to different roles, but I don't remember many plays outside of spread-the-floor-high-pick-roll and let CP do CP. And even CP has him limits when it's essentially 2 against 5.
www.dogpile.com/ #4
Niall Doherty
05/28/09 07:11 AM
Watching Lakers-Nuggets last night, I couldn't help but wonder how Shannon Brown could be such a useful piece for LA when he'd been rotting on the Charlotte bench for much of the season, and two other teams didn't think much of him before that. I guess it's all about finding the right situation and being in a system that can take advantage of your strengths while hiding your weaknesses.
Unfortunately, the Hornets don't really have a flexible system like that. Antonio Daniels isn't Chris Paul, but too often he was expected to run the same offense.
I still like AD a lot though. He always seems professional and gives it his all.
www.ndoherty.com #5
bigindian15
05/28/09 06:00 PM
http://blog.nola.com/hornetsbeat/2009/05/new_orleans_hornets_talking_wi.html
Don't wanna get anyone's hopes up, but...decent ball handler there :D
#6
Diane
05/28/09 09:03 PM
Thanks Ryan for all your good stuff.
I loved Pargo for the most part cause of his energy. I hated all the wild shots he threw up. (?) I am so scared that if he comes back to the Hornets he will be a real disappoint like Devin Brown was - we just remember him from his first time with The Hornets and that just wasn't him this time - like you said maybe just out of shape.
I sure wish The Coach would have let Daniels play more and maybe his own style.
I'm not sure what was wrong with the team last year but I'll let some one who gets paid figure it out.
Loving the playoffs!! Oh the days of Chris Anderson and JR Smith - they would never had been this good under Coach Scott. Hooray for George Karl.
#7
Ryan Schwan
05/28/09 10:11 PM
I agree about Pargo, Diane.
As for Birdman, he got his original break and big chunk of playing time from Byron Scott - so I think he would have been fine playing for him if not for the two year layoff. Scott was the one who pushed to have him signed to a four year deal in the first place.
JR? Naw, Byron wouldn't play him. Honestly, George Karl shouldn't play him half the time either. In my opinion, JR is a taller Pargo. He'll shoot you into one game, but shoot you out of two others.
www.hornets247.com #8
corndeaux
05/28/09 11:10 PM
I've seen on the interwebbs various "sources" saying CP can be had for lots of expiring contracts. I'm betting (hoping?) the sources are Mark Cuban whispering sweet nothings to his pool boy Marc Stein.
I don't blame the team for getting rid of JR, but I would take him in a heartbeat on the Hornets right now. They need a loose cannon, even if it costs them a few games (see JuJu). Julian is not the cure to what ails the Hornets, but the possible reward of unlocking that potential is too great to pass up b/c he made some boneheaded plays in January. Obviously this team is so deep, they could afford to let a young, cheap, talented player rack up the DNP-CDs....
#9
Andrea
05/28/09 11:24 PM
The more and more I watch JR and Bird play, the more I miss Bird and the less I miss JR. I really believe he's found a home in Denver because the majority of their personalities match his. Kudos to George Karl for being able to deal with all of those personalities in that locker room.
#10
Ryan Schwan
05/29/09 09:47 AM
I wouldn't worry about the Hornets trading CP3, Trey. That would be franchise suicide. This is a business, and George Shinn is plenty savvy enough to know that Chris Paul sells him more tickets than probably any player not named Kobe or LeBron James.
www.hornets247.com #11