Matchup: Raptors(2-2) @ Hornets(2-3)
Off Efficiency: Raptors 114.0(3rd), Hornets 106.1(10th)
Def Efficiency: Raptors 111.2(28th), Hornets 108.1(25th)
The Raptors are explosive offensively. 114.0 efficiency so far is pretty crazy, and it's all being generated by the Raptor frontcourt of Bosh, Bargnani and Turkoglu. All three have been on a shooting tear, with Bargnani earning a blistering 1.6 points per shot, Hedo earning 1.48, and Chris Bosh putting down 1.64. To put that in perspective, all of those numbers would have led the Hornets last year.
Compound their crazy numbers and their perimeter shooting skill with the fact that the Hornets big men aren't good at getting to the perimeter, and things could get a little dicey tonight.
Fortunately for the Hornets, the Raptors are just as determined to give up points as they are at earning them, as they have been allowing 111.2 points per posession, good for 28th in the league. The Raptors starting five doesn't really have anyone who could be accused of playing tough defense, and other than Antoine Wright, their bench is much the same.
It'll be interesting to see how this game turns out. The Hornets are reliant on post scoring and Chris Paul, while the Raptors are reliant on perimeter scoring, and neither team is built to stop either of those attacks particularly well.
Injuries:
Raptors: None
Hornets: Diogu is practicing, but still no word if he's game-ready.
Positional Analysis
PG: Jose Calderon v Chris Paul
Advantage: Hornets
Jose Calderon had a magnificent season two years ago. He shot well, made less mistakes than Paul, and ran the offense perfectly. Sadly, he's fallen off the map last year and this year, slowed by injury. So far this season, he's done very little, shooting and assisting at a low rate, and defending poorly - something he did even during his good season. Chris Paul is due for a fall in his shooting numbers, but Jose Calderon is not the one who is going to make it happen.
SG: DeMar DeRozan v MoRris PeTerson
Advantage: Push
DeMar is a raw rookie, and he hasn't done much so far this season - hitting open shots, getting a dunk here and there, and that's about it. He is an exceptional athelete, and that may be enough to get him open against Peterson at this point - I'm just not sure if he'll be able to do anything once he shakes free. Not that Morris will be doing that much himself.
SF: Hedo Turkoglu v Julian Wright
Advantage: Raptors
Hedo is a nice all-around player. Julian should have little trouble contesting his drives, but I expect Turk to burn him on the perimeter several times. Happily, Julian should be able to control the boards against Turkoglu with little trouble, and will probably get at least one open alley-oop against the help-happy Hedo. Still, Hedo should win this battle.
PF: Chris Bosh v David West
Advantage: Raptors
Bosh has gone to the line an average of 16 times per game this season. 16 times. He's been more aggressive going to the hole after putting on some weight in the off-season, and has generally been a nightmare to defend. West already struggled defending Bosh enough that Chandler usually ended up on him. This could get ugly. On the reverse side, West has always scored well against Bosh as well - just not quite as prolifically as Bosh. On the boards, this is no contest. Bosh rebounds, West doesn't.
C: Andrea Bargnani v Emeka Okafor
Advantage: Push
Raptors fans will trash me for this, but I'm really skeptical that Bargnani's shooting is going to continue at this rate, and that's really the only thing Andrea has going for him. He doesn't really defend, he's an AWFUL rebounder, he doesn't pass, he susceptible to turnovers. I'd rather have Okafor, who can score in the post at a decent clip and still provide excellent rebounding and defense. The only thing that makes this matchup a Push is the fact that Bargnani is on such a tear shooting. If he slips to anything closer to normal shooting during the game, this matchup swings strongly in the Hornets favor.
Bench
Advantage: Hornets
Jarrett Jack, Antoine Wright, Amir Johnson, Rasho Nesterovich, Marco Belinelli v Peja Stojakovic, Bobby Brown, Darius Songaila, James Posey, Hilton Armstrong
I like Jarrett Jack as a backup point guard. Amir and Rasho are a decent pair of backup bigs. Still, though we might complain about our bench's lack of offensive punch, the Raptors have us beat. Marco Bellineli can fill it up quick, but is so limited in other respects, that he gets less time than Jack and Antoine Wright. The Hornets can at least feel comfortable now that either Peja or Bobby is likely to contribute something offensively. Usually. Still, the advantage is a hairs breadth.
Enjoy the game.


21 intriguing comments post your own
LSUhornet
11/06/09 11:23 AM
Just took a look at Barg's career stats. His 6.5 boards a game are 2 better than his career average and 1 better than his career best average. How does a 7 footer accomplish that? He's actually a worse rebounder than Hilton,and this guy starts at center for what seems to be a decent NBA team. Amazing.
#1
LSUhornet
11/06/09 11:47 AM
From chat with Hollinger on whether or not Byron will make it to Thanksgiving:
John Hollinger
(12:37 PM)
Thanksgiving would surprise me. Valentine's Day would not. He's definitely going to be under some pressure there, especially since a lot of the personnel decisions he influenced or appeared to influence on (letting Smith and Bass go, getting ex-Kings Stojakovic and Jackson) have worked out poorly.
-PS in 3 different chats he's had I've asked about 15 questions and haven't had one get picked yet. At least he's taking some Hornets ?s.
#2
Ryan Schwan
11/06/09 11:56 AM
He's a popular dude. Hard to get to everyone in those chats. When I was sharing a chat with him, there were a ton of questions we couldn't get to.
www.hornets247.com #3
LSUhornet
11/06/09 12:00 PM
On cue he answered the question I cared least about. I asked what was up with Posey, and he said Posey is old and reiterated his "magic playoff beans" point about why the Hornets were stupid in signing him.
#4
Niall Doherty
11/06/09 12:21 PM
MoRris PeTerson.
Nice.
www.ndoherty.com #5
Scooter
11/06/09 01:38 PM
just wondering.. has sean marks played at all this year? if not, why?
#6
Bigsmokegary
11/06/09 02:12 PM
You obviously only look at stats when you talk about other teams players. What you'll see tonight is that Andrea school's Okafor by playing inside and out offensively, defending pretty well one on one, he'll get a couple of blocks and he's a very good passer for a big man. Oh and he's a great shooter so don't hold your breath on his percentages going south.
Also, your bench sucks so I wouldn't be giving them the advantage.
#7
QueenBee
11/06/09 02:16 PM
Speaking of making it rain.... anyone remember last season when CP3 missed the game against the Raptors and down the stretch the Hornets started making it rain 3's like crazy tying a franchise record with 15 3's?? LOL!
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/boxscore?gameId=290206003
#8
QueenBee
11/06/09 02:18 PM
West always plays Bosh well.
#9
LSUhornet
11/06/09 02:34 PM
@QueenBee
I remember that. We stole a win with Daniels and Bowen starting. Classic.
#10
Joe Buddy
11/06/09 03:13 PM
Andrea Bargnani doesn't really defend and doesn't pass? That's news to me. But ya, he isn't the best rebounder in the world. I mean he'll never average 10+ boards per game, especially with Bosh there, but then again, how many teams have two guys on the team averaging 10+ boards per game? I haven't checked, but the answer is probably none.
As for the benches, advantage Hornets? Really? We'll see how it plays out tonight.
#11
JChangNZ
11/06/09 03:25 PM
@Scooter
Scott inactivated him for the first game after saying he had a minor sore neck that week. It's been two weeks, he's still been on the inactive list with no news as to his health. I-am-worried.
#12
Mikey
11/06/09 04:33 PM
Ryan, I would never give the Hornets the bench advantage, ever. Period.
#13
icebird
11/06/09 04:41 PM
(From the *other* New Zealand who reads these boards):
I suspect Marks probably did have a stiff neck (or whatever they were calling it) for the first couple of games, but has probably been kept out longer due to policy reasons on Scott's part: He seemed to want to give the BBrown-Posey-Peja-Armstrong-Songalia bench unit some time to find its feet - even if the rest of us would like to see Collison, Thornton, Diogu (who may really still be injured) and even Marks out there on the floor. I'm crossing my fingers we might see some playing time from the "Walmart line" ("Players for everyday low prices!") against Toronto tonight.
#14
Al
11/06/09 04:42 PM
Bargnani has lower turn over ratio than Bosh and most other big men, passes better than Bosh and most other big men not named Pau, shoots inside and out and his scoring while you may think is a crazy tear is pretty much the same as last years last three months where he officially started and averaged 20 points and 6+ boards. He moves better than most big men, is still a kid with tremendous upside, and yes he will school Okafor and YOU tonight!! Oh and I do think Bosh is a star so the only reason I used Bosh as an example was to make a point since you agree Bosh is great.
#15
Zwie
11/06/09 04:57 PM
i like how all these Toronto fans are making such great assumptions and what not.. but we here at 247 are gonna be the bigger kiddies, and just let our players do the talking..
#16
Caleb462
11/06/09 05:20 PM
Raptor fans... sigh, almost as annoying as Blazers fans.
neworleansbasketball.blogspot.com #17
TheKeyMaster
11/06/09 05:23 PM
hey at least the hornets don't have to bust out the passports everytime they have an away game...hahaha, bad joke i know. but i expect the hornets to start rolling now after winning that game against dallas. they need make defending the perimeter their #1 priority tonight, seeing as how the raptors only real inside threat is bosh. i say put dwest on bargnani and okafor on bosh and see how that works out. i think cp3 will go for 35+ and possibly have his first triple double of the season with 4 stls. geaux hornets
#18
Al
11/06/09 09:36 PM
What happeed to letting your players do the talking Zwie ???
Bargs had a bad game and was 14 points and 9 boards while Okafor was 6 points and 8 boards. Bosh also destroyed your defensive specialist as Okafor could not even stay close. Who's going to score all your points now that the only scorer you have left is Paul ?? Good luck fellas and thanks for the easy win so our starters can get some rest.
#19
Caleb462
11/06/09 09:37 PM
Real classy Al.
neworleansbasketball.blogspot.com #20
CB4
11/07/09 12:17 PM
LMAO @ Zwie
your players definitely let their play do the talking...
#21