Many of us here seem to be very "unenthusiastic" about our current roster. I, however, am not. The Hornets can still be a legitimate playoff contender with the current roster, as long as everyone stays healthy for a decent amount of time. Am I saying we shouldn't look to make trades? Definitely not. I think we can get good value for Darren Collison and Peja Stojakovic's expiring contract. Trading Paul is definitely not an option in my book.
Let's take a look at some things:
Hornet's 2009-2010 Season Record: 37-45
Games behind a playoff spot: 13 (this is good for the 6th, 7th, and 8th seed since they were all tied)
Games missed due to injuries:
Chris Paul: 37
Peja Stojakovic: 20
*On a side note, Emeka Okafor played and started all 82 games. Overpaid?? I think not. I could make the argument here that Chris Paul was overpaid since he only gave us any kind of production for 45 games. I'm definitely not, but let's all leave Okafor alone.
So, two of our essential starters and scorers missed 57 games due to injuries. If they were healthy, I think we could definitely count on an extra 10-12 wins. That right there puts us right below 50 win mark, which still isn't good enough to make the playoffs last year.
If the Hornets were healthy, we can assume we were a 46-52 win team.
Now for this upcoming season, let's take in the fact that Emeka Okafor will actually be healthy at training camp this year. That's a plus. Let's remember that Marcus Thornton will be a legitimate starter producing 14-20 ppg all year long playing alongside Chris Paul. That's a HUGE plus. We have two new rookies with promise who will definitely be above Julian Wright on the depth chart. That's potential. Oh, and we also have a real head coach who will be at training camp to put in his new system. No more Bower leaving Okafor out at the end of games. Even better news!
With all these positives, we should be able to win 47-54 games if all is well next season. I don't see why everyone is pouting like we're the Minnesota Timberwolves right now.
Around the deadline, we should be able to at least get some decent help by putting Collison, Songaila, and Stojakovic on the trading block. Who knows, we could even maybe sang Granger, but we will at least be able to bring some good help to New Orleans.
After all these moves are made, we should be in the mix fighting for a top 6 seed in the West. Yes, I understand many things need to go our way for this to happen, but it is definitely something we can do this season. We ARE a good team, and we will be a much better team as these next few months pass us by.
This will be quite the interesting season. Once again, we're underdogs in the NBA going for another magical 56 win season!

See, happy in New Orleans! Let's go Hornets!!


19 marvelous comments post your own
untitled1018
07/29/10 08:53 AM
Cosign.
#1
420ftJesus
07/29/10 09:08 AM
I'd add that Peja and Paul are probably our 2 smartest players.
I'm not sure how essential Peja is, but he does something. Asking him to do something he's not capable of doing is not good coaching. He lights up 1 in 5 games offensively, has 2 more that are fine, and 2 that are awful. Not having something for those other 2 games is the issue.
But, as Ryan lamented, we lost our hope when Peja got hurt. We were not going to make playoff noise with him, and not alot with him and Paul, but we just collapsed without Peja after Paul was out for good. This should not be forgotten in this last year with Peja. We need to replace whatever it is he was giving. Again, as Ryan pointed out, our defense is what slipped. I'll not get flak for saying that Peja is not a defensive monster, so I'll chalk it up to brains and team defense.
But, yeah, I'd like to see what these guys do and make the right moves once we have that information. Making moves to make moves might feel good, but it's riskier than making the move with information. Also, better players will become available once teams start losing guys, right? So there is an emerging market starting, say, in December-January.
Since no one is excited about the free agents available now (since they lament us missing all the `good ones' in the current class)m then why go after them?
#2
Hewhorocks
07/29/10 09:19 AM
2 years ago the Hornets lost something like 4 games all season where they scored 90 points. Last year they couldnt stop anyone. Peja just doesnt have the lateral movement . I know that many teams value Peja as an expiring contract. I hope Indiana is one of them. All I want for my Lagniappe Rewards points is:
http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=2857fqj
#3
corndeaux
07/29/10 09:42 AM
With some smarter coaching, I do think the Hornets can get back to 45+ wins with this team.
The rotations last year were awful. Obviously some of that was due to injuries, but some were continual boneheaded decisions.
Case in point- Peja. Bower would leave him in for entire first quarters routinely. 12 minutes at a time, really? He played 31mpg last year. That needs to be 20-25mpg if you want him healthy and capable of doing something on the court.
Another one that irked me was out of shape James Posey at 22mpg, he needs to be 15-20 and at PF, not guarding wings anymore.
#4
Hewhorocks
07/29/10 12:41 PM
I recall an interview where the one of the coaches remarked that Offense was created with ball movement at this (the NBA) level. Well if Offense isnt created with ball movement no need to plan to defend against that.....Arg. One thing is for certain. We have likely made a huge improvement in the coaching department. (Not over Byron over Bower...interesting that the team with the best regular season record last year fired their coach and hired Byron.)
#5
Hewhorocks
07/29/10 12:42 PM
Err * wasn't created with ball movement. *Lowers head in proofreading shame
#6
QueenBee
07/29/10 02:13 PM
I anticipate we'll be getting more production from Quincy at the SF position than we will from Peja. The guy is younger and plays on both ends of the court. He can't stroke it from downtown the way Peja does but he defends his butt off and he's better at getting to the rim. Peja is still a threat though. Anytime he's on the court he will be considered a threat to the opposing team.
#7
StefanC
07/29/10 03:51 PM
Let's not forget that Peja Stojakovic is a threat and a huge asset to our offense just by standing at the 3 point line. He gives CP3 a lot more room to work with just by standing in place. This is why David West compliments CP3 so much as well. Defenders have to think twice before leaving either of the two open on the perimeter.
Peja Stojakovic was also able to step up with the scoring when he was asked to be more of a primary scoring option. As Ryan constantly talked about before, he's also not a bad defender. He does a great job in baiting guys like Carmelo Anthony into inefficient mid-range jumpers. Him being healthier this year will be just as vital as having a healthy Chris Paul. The only difference is that we'll be trying to ship Peja out at the deadline... Whoops!
@corndeaux: I agree with your point on minutes played. Stojakovic and Posey were both asked to play more minutes than they were used to and more than they should at their age. Posey was incredibly out of shape last season, but that is because he spent most of his off-season recovering from that elbow injury. Let's all hope he'll get in shape this off-season.
#8
QueenBee
07/29/10 04:23 PM
I kind of wish we could hear more about what our players are doing in the offseason. Just a little bit. IS Peja healthy? Is he working out in Greece? IS Emeka healthy? Is he working out in Houston? We're assuming they are but by not hearing much, how do we really know?
#9
420ftJesus
07/29/10 04:42 PM
Yeah, why can't we get rumors about Okafor doing leg curls?
The mix of minutes was poor last year. Some of that was coaching, but Byron's wasn't so hot. I think the common element was a lack of depth, then Bower's limited coaching talent painted them further into the corner with respect to minutes. These two rooks should help. Should.
I want another center. An additional center. Then we can start talking about replacing one of Okafor, Gray, and yet-to-be-named.
#10
BiggestNOLAFan
07/29/10 05:27 PM
heres tha problem with okafor... he and d west play basically the same game. while when we had tyson(he was a rebounder and blocker first scoring second) im hoping okafor jus went through a down season and gets in ALOT of work this offseason. i think he could average 18ppg and 11 rebounds if healthy! btw did anyone every think in that draft if d howard would have went to the bobcats instead of okafor we would have dwight right now!!!! im just sayin that would be beast.
#11
StefanC
07/29/10 08:16 PM
I'm about to get so much shit for this, but I would rather move David West than Emeka Okafor. I would like to move Okafor to PF & get a real 7 foot center in the middle. Think about it. We could really become a defensive & rebounding monster with a tandem like that. If we have a good, quick center, Okafor could easily roam around to be the shot blocker that he truly is. We'd have length & our rebounding woes would be over. Let's face it, West has been on the decline & his value is highest right now. I'm sure many of you (and Chris Paul) won't agree, but I would do this if we could trade him for a real starting Center.
#12
BiggestNOLAFan
07/29/10 08:50 PM
the only thing is if we trade west chris doesnt have a pick and pop guy. okafor sure cant shoot tha jumper. west has an automatic shot like pj did when tha hornets moved to N.O... i wouldnt mind seeing west traded tho and keepin okafor
#13
BiggestNOLAFan
07/29/10 08:50 PM
the only thing is if we trade west chris doesnt have a pick and pop guy. okafor sure cant shoot tha jumper. west has an automatic shot like pj did when tha hornets moved to N.O... i wouldnt mind seeing west traded tho and keepin okafor
#14
HiMyNameisSteven
07/29/10 09:25 PM
trade west and then we are guarenteed chris paul demanding a trade if we dont bring someone amazin back in return
#15
NolaBoyTito
07/29/10 09:56 PM
maybe this
http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=3534p9p
we add some draft picks or take out A.J. or solomon
#16
Hewhorocks
07/29/10 10:22 PM
Well I think the Pacers want to keep prince its ford they want to get rid of. Besides that Im not convinced the hornets really need /want to deal Okafor. Besides you then need to figure out peja fast because your not going to want to have 24 mil in the 3 spot.
#17
420ftJesus
07/29/10 11:13 PM
In order to sign a max guy,we're going to need to move Okafor, Posey, or have West not reup if the cap is near 55M next year. If it's higher due to a new hard cap structure, maybe we can swing it if we don't add too much beyond this year.
#18
Hewhorocks
07/29/10 11:37 PM
What should I be looking for to see Peja isnt a bad defender? I watched nearly every game and I didnt see Peja doing a number on anyone. He wasnt much better the year before. He is slow to rotate/help and his defensive rebounding was the worst for any non-guard on the team (position has some role in that though.) His defensive rating was tied for the worst on the team. I'm not a Peja hater, he was a very good player for quite a while but he's been overpaid for years and his threat from downtown is isn't quite what it used to be. (not top 50 in 3pt% last year -min 100 attempts) injury and age are doing a number on him and the most we should expect from him is 20 +/- min a game. With our ability to attract impact free agents with the space created by his expiring contract for Paul's last year for certain in N.O., I dont expect him to survive the trade deadline as a Hornet. The question is "what can we turn him into?" not so much what does he do for the Hornets on the floor.
#19